Matt Singh

Matt Singh is a polling analyst and founder of Number Cruncher Politics, the non-partisan polling and elections site that predicted the 2015 opinion polling disaster. He tweets at @MattSingh_

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Under the microscope

Matt Singh

The Stoke Central and Copeland by-elections By-elections are a strange beast. They are an ‘event’ for parties and the media and fun for political anoraks, but their impact on the narrative usually far outweighs their electoral significance or predictive value. In turn, they are themselves difficult to predict, and national polling is not a good…